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Average hits to beat a lieutenant

3 posts · 198 views · started 2019-08-13 18:04 UTC
ST
Studoku
2019-08-13 18:04 UTC
#1

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xOG9vG3a_USQX4_H3H3Gyc-ThIKpVk7KhB-Xa7A5Hy4/edit?usp=sharing

I was bored and threw together some formulas in Excel. I don't know if this is useful to anyone when doing encounter design?

ER
ErekLich
2019-08-13 19:11 UTC
#2

I made something similar; it's useful for calculating expected values but so far my experience has been that each party will have wildly different abilities so a formula doesn't really help as much as you'd think.

AR
aramis
2019-08-13 21:48 UTC
#3

There’s also the issue that the average damage for any of the dice used (d4, d6, d8, d10, d12) will NOT be an integer.

 

Expected tries to kill [table] [tr][td]AtkDie↓ Lt Die→[/td][td]d4[/td][td]d6[/td][td]d8[/td][td]d10[/td][td]d12[/td][/tr] [tr][td]d4[/td][td]2.67[/td][td]6.67[/td][td]12.00[/td][td]18.67[/td][td]26.67[/td][/tr] [tr][td]d6[/td][td]4.80[/td][td]12.00[/td][td]21.60[/td][td]33.60[/td][td]48.00[/td][/tr] [tr][td]d8[/td][td]4.57[/td][td]11.43[/td][td]20.57[/td][td]32.00[/td][td]45.71[/td][/tr] [tr][td]d10[/td][td]2.67[/td][td]6.00[/td][td]10.44[/td][td]16.00[/td][td]22.67[/td][/tr] [tr][td]d12[/td][td]2.09[/td][td]4.49[/td][td]7.40[/td][td]11.03[/td][td]15.40[/td][/tr][/table]

I worked this out by count-table rather than pure formula. (makes it easier to replicate the rules - damage die ≤  lieutenant die is no drop).

The OP’s data looks closer to expected tries to step-down…

[table] Expected tries to stepdown [tr][td]AtkDie↓ Lt Die→[/td][td]d4[/td][td]d6[/td][td]d8[/td][td]d10[/td][td]d12[/td][/tr] [tr][td]d4[/td][td]2.67[/td][td]4.00[/td][td]5.33[/td][td]6.67[/td][td]8.00[/td][/tr] [tr][td]d6[/td][td]4.80[/td][td]7.20[/td][td]9.60[/td][td]12.00[/td][td]14.40[/td][/tr] [tr][td]d8[/td][td]4.57[/td][td]6.86[/td][td]9.14[/td][td]11.43[/td][td]13.71[/td][/tr] [tr][td]d10[/td][td]2.67[/td][td]3.33[/td][td]4.44[/td][td]5.56[/td][td]6.67[/td][/tr] [tr][td]d12[/td][td]2.09[/td][td]2.40[/td][td]2.91[/td][td]3.64[/td][td]4.36[/td][/tr][/table]

Worksheet: Sentinel Comics Lieutenants - Google Sheets